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Tuesday, Apr 01, 2025

Europe Prepares for Possible Trade Conflict as Trump Aims at EU Exports

Europe Prepares for Possible Trade Conflict as Trump Aims at EU Exports

The U.S. president warns of imposing tariffs on European imports, jeopardizing significant industries and economies.
U.S. President Donald Trump has intensified trade conflicts with the European Union, labeling the bloc an 'atrocity' due to its trade surplus with the United States and pledging to implement tariffs on EU imports.

This development follows the introduction of a 10 percent tariff on Chinese goods and has prompted European leaders to hurriedly formulate a response.

The European Commission has vowed to take 'firm' action in retaliation, while German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has sought a diplomatic route, proposing negotiations to settle trade disagreements.

Nevertheless, with the EU heavily dependent on exports to the U.S., any new tariffs could adversely affect European industries and economies.

The U.S. and EU share a strong trade partnership, with total trade in goods and services surpassing 1.5 trillion euros in 2023. While the U.S. reported a trade deficit of 157 billion euros with the EU that year, this shortfall is largely offset by a 109 billion euro surplus in services, including finance, intellectual property, and professional services.

The sectors at greatest risk from potential U.S. tariffs include automotive, machinery, and pharmaceuticals.

In 2023, the EU sent over 90 billion euros worth of vehicles to the U.S., while importing only 14 billion euros in return.

Trump has previously denounced this imbalance and threatened auto tariffs during his first term.

Germany, Italy, and Ireland are the most vulnerable to potential trade restrictions, as they constituted over 50 percent of the EU’s exports to the U.S. last year.

The EU's retaliation would be complicated by its dependence on American liquefied natural gas (LNG).

The U.S. has emerged as the bloc’s main LNG supplier as the EU seeks to eliminate Russian energy imports.

Any countermeasures against the U.S. could jeopardize energy supplies.

Possible EU responses might involve negotiating increased purchases of American energy and defense products or imposing retaliatory tariffs, a tactic previously employed during Trump’s first administration.

However, research indicates that such actions could ultimately harm European industries as much as those in the U.S.

With tensions escalating, European leaders are considering their options as Trump is poised to further his trade agenda, which could alter transatlantic economic relations in the coming years.
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